Thursday, 16 October 2008

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The state of the economy

By economy, we mostly mean interest rate rises and housing affordability -- oh and tax cuts. The parts of the economy that hit the ordinary hip pocket. The Coalition has ruled over a strong economy for 11 years but will it be enough?

Crikey Policy Comparison Pt 2: Housing affordability

Wednesday, 17 October 2007 2

The housing affordability crisis has been front and centre of this campaign, and when it comes to the two major parties, it's come down to the battling for the votes of first time home owners. Each party is promising to help save for that much needed deposit, the question is how?

There's more than one way to get a rates rise

Tuesday, 9 October 2007 0

It's now looking as though we are "enjoying" a defacto interest rate rise of around 0.20% to 0.40% judging by where short term money market rates have settled above 6.80% to 7%, writes Glenn Dyer.

Housing affordability – is it really the big question?

Wednesday, 19 September 2007 0

A clue to the big question of housing affordability lies in the changing demographics of Australian Society – according to the Roy Morgan "State of the Nation" report due to be released in two week.

What to do with a $20 billion budget surplus?

Wednesday, 19 September 2007 0

Stand by for the mother of all spending sprees from John Howard and Kevin Rudd over the next two months as Australia fights its first federal election campaign at a time of unprecedented government surpluses.

Economy and IR are most concerning: Morgan Poll

Wednesday, 29 August 2007 0

The economy and industrial relations are the issues most concerning Australian voters, according to new Morgan polling.

Interest rates and election years: Is the so-called conventional wisdom a furphy?

Tuesday, 21 August 2007 0

On Friday we heard that the Governor of the Reserve Bank, Glenn Stevens, has stated he is prepared to raise the interest rate during an election campaign, contrary to received wisdom. This was actually two pieces of news for me, since I’d never heard about the received wisdom in the first place. James Farrell breaks down the myth.

Which comes first: the election or the rates rise?

Tuesday, 14 August 2007 0

Market economists expect another rates rise before the end of the year. The main question is when. Before, after or during the election campaign?

Housing affordability: too many immigrants, not enough houses

Tuesday, 17 July 2007 0

The reason for the housing “affordability crisis” in Australia is simple, that is, there are more people moving to Australia than there are dwellings being constructed.

Housing stress and marginals: everyone's under the pump

Monday, 16 July 2007 0

Housing affordability is one of the key national talking points ahead of the federal election, but how important will it be on election day? Who holds the electorates that are experiencing the most severe housing stress, and who stands to gain the most from talking up a solution?

Senator Bartlett: time to get cracking on housing affordability

Monday, 9 July 2007 0

Housing affordability and accessibility problems have become so severe that they risk becoming permanently entrenched, along with the major wealth and opportunity gaps that go with it, writes Senator Andrew Bartlett.

Rudd's next platform: affordable housing

Wednesday, 4 July 2007 0

From my reading, Rudd's approach looks to be moving in a positive direction, writes Joshua Gans.

Doing Rudd slowly while the economy boils over

Thursday, 7 June 2007 0

If you’ve ever watched Jamie Oliver, you’ll know how all the different people in a commercial kitchen have to work in unison. And so it is running a nation. The economic Escoffiers and political patisseriers just can’t do their own thing.

Thanks for the Budget, but we've already made up our minds

Tuesday, 15 May 2007 0

Post-Budget poll number two is another stinker for the Government. Newspoll this morning puts Labor on 59% of the two-party-preferred vote: a swing of 2% in its favour in the past fortnight, and almost 12% since the 2004 election.

First post-Budget poll: nobody's bouncing just yet

Monday, 14 May 2007 0

In an election year, it was inevitable that both last week's Budget and Kevin Rudd's reply would be viewed more in political than economic terms. In particular, observers have been focused on the prospect of the Government getting a popularity "bounce" from the week, and fairly salivating in anticipation of the next round of opinion polls.

Labor survives Budget week in good shape

Monday, 14 May 2007 0

People who judge the political mood by what happens in the Parliament have declared Budget Week as being a clear victory for the Government but Labor can be well pleased with the way things currently stand.

Key-word comparison: Rudd's Budget reply v Costello's vision

Friday, 11 May 2007 0

Comparing the key-words in Kevin Rudd's Budget reply set against Costello's vision offers an at-a-glance glimpse of the issues set to dominate each party's agenda in the upcoming election.

Budget's solar backflip: how quickly they recant

Thursday, 10 May 2007 0

Times change, elections loom, policies change. That's politics. Over the last 12 to 15 months, it appears that very process has been hard at work in the Treasurer's office, particularly when it comes to solar rebates for home owners.

Budgeting for all Australians, except the indigenous ones

Thursday, 10 May 2007 0

The 2007-08 Budget included 26 initiatives totalling $816 million over five years focusing on the Howard government framework of ‘practical’ reconciliation in health, housing, education and employment. The $163 million per annum extra funding committed will go nowhere in delivering ‘A Better Future for Indigenous Australians’ because the quantum is inadequate, given the enormity of historical backlogs, and the initiatives are piecemeal and often ideologically rather than practically based. Let’s look briefly at the key initiatives.

Chasing a boost from the Budget

Wednesday, 9 May 2007 0

It’s money all round -- but will there be a Budget poll boost for the Government? Cast your mind back 12 months. Last year’s Budget received plenty of praise in the media. There was a bit of a blip -- but that was it.

Budget night: a triumph of rite over truth

Wednesday, 9 May 2007 0

So it is that every year, our shaman gather in Canberra. Like priests before a ritual they are sealed off from the profane world in a special retreat (‘the lock-up’) and bonded together in a sacred pact, which sets them off as a distinct group against the rest of their people.

Talkback: the people's Budget commentariat

Wednesday, 9 May 2007 0

Forget the pompous editorials and highly paid commentators. When it comes to dissecting the budget, it's the reaction from talkback callers like Bernie in Sydney, Ivan in Cairns and Pat in Melbourne that really counts, writes Sophie Black.

The ghosts of 11 Cossie budgets past

Tuesday, 8 May 2007 0

Budget planning for the GST, the millennium bug, dealing with the impact of September 11, border integrity issues, the celebration of Federation's centenary... A wander through the Treasurer's budget speeches past is a fascinating stroll through history.

IR the issue, the economy the strength

Monday, 30 April 2007 0

Three key trends detected by special Roy Morgan qualitative research conducted during April seem crucial to the election outcome: the Liberal Party’s economic management skills; the negative effect of the industrial relations laws and general disillusionment with John Howard and his Liberal Government.

Will housing pass Gen Y by?

Friday, 16 March 2007 0

By some accounts Generation Y is getting squished out of the property market, not only for buying but renting too. Perhaps there'd be less enmity if the government threw Gen Y a bone, in the spirit of inter-generational bonding. And why not start with wiping out HECS (Commonwealth Supported Places) debts?

Howard focusing on the economy

Tuesday, 13 March 2007 0

John Howard is focussing on the economy. He told us so yesterday in Tokyo; five times in three sentences.


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